H2Ohio Bonds

Question A: Statewide bonds for the H2Ohio program will increase the size of Ohio's outdoor recreation industry.

Question B: Statewide bonds for the H2Ohio program will reduce the cost of water treatment and public health services for local governments.

Question C: Statewide bonds for the H2Ohio program will grow Ohio's economy.

Question A: Statewide bonds for the H2Ohio program will increase the size of Ohio's outdoor recreation industry.

Economist Institution Opinion Confidence Comment
Jonathan Andreas Bluffton University Agree 9
Ron Cheung Oberlin College Agree 6
Kevin Egan University of Toledo Agree 2 Only if the program spends the money wisely and actually solves the harmful algal bloom problem in Lake Erie and other lakes.
Kenneth Fah Ohio Dominican University Uncertain 5
Will Georgic Ohio Wesleyan University Agree 8 There is a difference between an absolute increase in the size of Ohio's outdoor recreation industry and an increase in the size of the industry relative to what it would be if funding for H2Ohio is permanently lost. I'm less confident about the first effect because it depends on other factors, but holding all else equal, further funding for H2Ohio should lead to better water quality which should have a positive effect on the outdoor recreation industry in the state.
Faria Huq Lake Erie College Agree 5
Christian Imboden Bowling Green State University Uncertain 5
Michael Jones University of Cincinnati Uncertain 5
Charles Kroncke Mount Saint Joseph University Strongly Agree 10
Bill LaFayette Regionomics Agree 7 Bonds could fund infrastructure that would make rivers and lakes more accessible for the public. This would work together with the operating funding that reduces the algae and pollutants, making the rivers more appealing in the first place.
Trevon Logan Ohio State University Uncertain 8
Joseph Nowakowski Muskingum University Agree 8
Curtis Reynolds Kent State University Uncertain 5 It depends on exactly what the bonds can and cannot be used for. In general, reducing agricultural runoff could help the industry and is probably a good idea for a number of reasons.
Albert Sumell Youngstown State University Uncertain 5 I don't know much about the program but from my understanding it increases the amount of wetlands. I'm not sure if this qualifies as "outdoor recreation"
Ejindu Ume Miami University Uncertain 5
Kathryn Wilson Kent State University Agree 6

Question B: Statewide bonds for the H2Ohio program will reduce the cost of water treatment and public health services for local governments.

Economist Institution Opinion Confidence Comment
Jonathan Andreas Bluffton University Agree 9
Ron Cheung Oberlin College Agree 8
Kevin Egan University of Toledo Agree 2 Only if the program spends the money wisely and actually solves the harmful algal bloom problem in Lake Erie and other lakes.
Kenneth Fah Ohio Dominican University Uncertain 5
Will Georgic Ohio Wesleyan University Agree 5 I think that this is certainly possible, but I'm not confident that the total reduction in water treatment costs and local public health expenditures alone would justify bonds for H2Ohio.
Faria Huq Lake Erie College Agree 5
Christian Imboden Bowling Green State University Uncertain 5
Michael Jones University of Cincinnati Uncertain 5
Charles Kroncke Mount Saint Joseph University Strongly Agree 10
Bill LaFayette Regionomics Strongly Agree 9 The algal bloom the other year in Lake Erie that crippled Toledo's water supply is just one example of the costs of inattention to agricultural runoff.
Trevon Logan Ohio State University Uncertain 8
Joseph Nowakowski Muskingum University Agree 7
Curtis Reynolds Kent State University Uncertain 5 See prior comment
Albert Sumell Youngstown State University Agree 8 I think it could have a small impact.
Ejindu Ume Miami University Agree 8
Kathryn Wilson Kent State University Agree 7

Question C: Statewide bonds for the H2Ohio program will grow Ohio's economy.

Economist Institution Opinion Confidence Comment
Jonathan Andreas Bluffton University Agree 4 The other two questions are clearly true, and this is harder to ascertain. I'm not an expert in the cost-benefit analysis that has been done on the program, but every analysis I could find gave a positive conclusion, so if they are correct, this should grow the economy.
Ron Cheung Oberlin College Agree 8
Kevin Egan University of Toledo Agree 2 Only if the program spends the money wisely and actually solves the harmful algal bloom problem in Lake Erie and other lakes.
Kenneth Fah Ohio Dominican University Uncertain 5
Will Georgic Ohio Wesleyan University Strongly Agree 8 Again, relative to what the economy would look like without any further funding for H2Ohio. Improvements in outdoor recreational opportunities and public health have a number of downstream benefits in addition to the direct effects.
Faria Huq Lake Erie College Uncertain 4
Christian Imboden Bowling Green State University Uncertain 5
Michael Jones University of Cincinnati Uncertain 6 Government bonds should be issued when the revenue stream for payments is clearly identified and is sufficient to cover the bond issuance. I haven't seen a compelling case that clearly estimates the additional revenue generated for the State of Ohio from the H2Ohio program. A stronger case needs to be made.
Charles Kroncke Mount Saint Joseph University Strongly Agree 10 If Ohio is known as a state that thinks ahead and has infrastructure that supports generational health, companies and individuals will feel good about locating here.
Bill LaFayette Regionomics Strongly Agree 9 Yes, by improving tourism and avoiding the cost of pollution.
Trevon Logan Ohio State University Uncertain 8
Joseph Nowakowski Muskingum University Agree 8
Curtis Reynolds Kent State University Strongly Disagree 8 Not in any measureable way, just not enough to make an impact on "Ohio's economy" as commonly understood by voters.
Albert Sumell Youngstown State University Disagree 5 I don't see how this would impact Ohio's economy in any measurable way.
Ejindu Ume Miami University Agree 8
Kathryn Wilson Kent State University Uncertain 5 I am not as certain on whether it will grow Ohio's economy, but I expect it to have other environmental and health benefits that will be beneficial to the state.